what's polymarket?
Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform, enabling users to trade shares on real-world event outcomes like politics, sports, and crypto trends. Built on Polygon and Ethereum, it uses USDC for secure, transparent bets that reflect market probabilities. The platform democratizes forecasting by allowing anyone to create and participate in markets without intermediaries.
Polymarket integrates Chance aggregator v2.0 with rewards, Rainbow wallet, and reached 324k users.
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x.com/polymarketHad 254,700 users for the week ending February 27, 2026.
Achieved $1.82 billion in notional volume for the week ending February 27, 2026.
Processed 22.66 million transactions for the week ending February 27, 2026.
Processed $8 billion in volume during January 2026, ranking #2 globally among prediction markets, surpassing Polymarket in monthly volume.
reached $1.2 billion in weekly trading volume for the week ending February 27, 2026
processed 14.4 million transactions during the week ending February 27, 2026
Wallet 0x054e placed $212,000 in bets on Polymarket for Axiom at $0.33 and won $421,000 on this trade, becoming the market's top holder.
Profited $1.02M on Axiom bet with $40M in volume, one trader earning $411.4K at 13.8% odds, and 12 wallets making over $1M.
Uses conditional ERC-1155 tokens to underpin Yes/No prediction market outcomes as core protocol infrastructure.
A user acquired 41,000 shares in a prediction market on February 24, 2026, at $0.17 per share, with current value reaching $41,400.
Processed over $3.74 billion in trading volume in November 2025 alone.
Acquired QCX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange, for $112 million.
Reached over $100 billion in volume, contributing $55 billion to total prediction markets volume of $126 billion as of February 2026.
Received a $2 billion investment from ICE (parent company of New York Stock Exchange) in October 2025 at a $9 billion valuation.
Processed 95 million total trades with monthly trade count growing from approximately 45,000 to around 19 million.
A trader placed a $14 million bet on Polymarket that Paramount will acquire Warner, creating cross-platform arbitrage opportunity with NFLX call spreads.
70% of 1.7 million wallets that traded on the platform lost money, with the median trader down $3, while 0.04% of wallets captured 70% of all profits.
Has partnerships with Circle related to USDC usage in decentralized prediction markets.
Integrated with Worm to enable 3x leveraged betting on Polymarket markets.
Integrated with Mass mobile app, described as an "everything defi" application.
Integrated with Jupiter Exchange's Prediction API (beta), enabling programmatic access to prediction markets settled on Solana for elections, sports, and culture.
Achieved over $5 million in trading volume on a specific market in less than 24 hours.
Released a CLI tool built in Rust for programmatic market queries, order placement, historical data access, and automated trading execution. Integrated MoonPay Agents for CLI-based funding from any chain, market search, and trade placement.
Achieved $1.82B in notional volume for the week ending February 24, 2026, representing a 3.18% decrease from the prior week.
A new wallet deposited $5,891 to bet on Polymarket on a market regarding Meteora insider trading accusations.
Faces insider trading allegations with $9.7M in profits, identifying 8 addresses profiting over $1.2M on the "Axiom" market, including wallets connected to Axiom employee Broox profiting $400K. Resolved "How many views will ZachXBT's investigation post get on X?" market to YES, refunded NO positions. Launched ZachXBT investigation market Feb 24, 2026, reaching $21M volume, runs until Mar 1, 2026, with Meteora at 47% probability, Pumpfun volume at $312,617, HyperliquidX volume at $343,949, and Meteora volume at $282,729.
CLARITY Act passing odds dropped from 72% to 42%, with 80% probability for 2026.
User 'BT-Polymarket' placed $5,400 on WLFI not being accused of insider trading and $10,000 on Binance not being accused of insider trading on the platform.
CMO Matthew Modabber confirmed token launch and airdrop planned, with 5-10% of total token supply for users.
Surpassed Kalshi in DEX spot transaction volume.
User data breach exposed 93,000 user details (including usernames, wallet IDs, X accounts, deposit volume, PnL, and funding source) now being sold on the dark web for $4,999.
Reached $350M in TVL.
Integrated with Starkbot version 0.5.60 as a skill for USA users, enabling AI agent interactions with Polymarket.
Achieved $5.7B in weekly volume.
Reached 51.15 million total transactions as of February 20, 2026.
Polymarket pricing shows around 75% probability that the US Supreme Court will rule Trump's tariffs illegal on February 20, 2026.
Opened a prediction market on whether the US will confirm extraterrestrial life exists before December 31, 2026, with odds jumping from 8% to 21% overnight.
Removed the 500ms taker delay from the platform.
Reached $409.7M in open interest as of February 27, 2026.
Integrated with Rainbow wallet, enabling users to make predictions directly within the Rainbow application.
Acquired Dome, a Y Combinator-backed unified API that normalizes prediction market data.
Named to Forbes Top 50 Fintech companies list for 2026, appearing alongside four other crypto companies.
Plans to migrate away from Polygon to its own chain.
Banned in Australia due to lack of licensing requirements.
Account profited over $500,000 trading crypto up/down markets within one month of creation.
Launched 5-minute duration markets for ETH, SOL, and XRP.
Expanded 5-minute markets functionality on Polygon network for increased capacity and speed.
Sponsored ETHDenver 2026 as an official sponsor.
Jump Trading is positioned to take stakes in Polymarket, signaling institutional interest in the prediction market platform.
Partnered with Substack for native embeds of prediction market data and trader profiles, launched February 18, 2026.
Integrated with Autonolas Polystrat, an autonomous AI trading agent platform that executes trades, powered by Polygon's infrastructure.
Received public recognition from NYSE President Lynn Martin at Mar-a-Lago on 2026-02-18, and mentioned at the White House, Fortune 500 earnings calls, and the GRAMMYs.
A top trader accumulated $1.93M in profit over 2 weeks on only 5 trades, with over $2M profit generated in the last 24 hours alone.
Ranked first among all projects for weekly mindshare growth at +1.71%.
Reached 19.6 million weekly spot DEX transactions and 22.58 million total transactions, the highest among prediction markets, for the week ending February 22, 2026, contributing to 38.1 million combined prediction market transactions.
Offers $2.5M in grants for developers, infrastructure, and technology development.
Integrated with Sport Fun, powering its prediction markets.
CFTC asserted federal jurisdiction over prediction markets, filing lawsuit against Massachusetts regulators amid regulatory classification dispute between federal derivatives regulation and state-level gambling laws.
Integrated with askginadotai for AI agent trading capabilities; released improved documentation including MCP and agent skills integration, enabling AI agents to build on Polymarket through Cursor and Claude.
Offers market sponsorship program for hedge funds, educational institutions, and individuals to fund custom reward pools, incentivizing market makers for tighter spreads, with rewards based on scoring and sponsor capital frozen until market period ends.
The #9 all-time PnL leader placed approximately $500,000 in bets on Real Madrid losing on February 17, 2026.
Banned in the Netherlands by Dutch gambling regulator, effective February 17, 2026, with fines of €420,000 per week. Dutch regulator ordered Polymarket affiliate to halt operations.
Integrated with Tron network, enabling native deposits February 17, 2026.
Partners with SDF to power prediction markets on their platform.
Integrated with mevtools for PolyGains, a real-time terminal built on SQD Pipes that tracks live flow, wallet history, and alerts on large movements from zero-history wallets, launched on 2026-02-17.
A wallet placed $190,000 in bets on Polymarket that a Pokémon card would sell above $10M, $12M, and $15M approximately one week before the card sold for $16.49M, reportedly making over $300,000 in profit.
Reached over 400 million trades on Polygon, totaling 36GB of compressed data, driving USDC transactions.
Reached a new all-time high of 688,000 monthly active users.
Odds of Bitcoin hitting $80K in February dropped to 10% on the prediction market.
Recorded $7.6 billion in trading volume for January 2026.
NEAR Protocol features a job listing for a "Polymarket Prediction Market strategy engine" on their agentic task markets.
Cited as an example of a successful product that abstracts away tokens and crypto, in a discussion about builder strategies and product-market fit.
Recorded approximately $832M in trading volume over the 7-day period ending February 16, 2026, ranking second among prediction markets behind Kalshi's $1.13B.
Oracle price manipulation vulnerability discovered in the new betting system, allowing exploitation of the platform.
Conducting $POLY token airdrop allocating 5% of token supply, potentially $500M+, based on CMO confirmation claims and a $9B valuation assumption.
Integrated Chainlink standard as part of 12 integrations across 7 services and 5 chains including BNB Chain, Ethereum, Polygon, Robinhood Chain, and Solana during the week of February 9-15, 2026.
Reached 310,000 users for the week ending February 20, 2026.
Recorded 15.57 million transactions for the week ending February 15, 2026.
Achieved $1.92 billion notional volume for week ending February 15, 2026, and $1.88 billion for week ending February 20, 2026.
Launched a GPU price prediction market allowing users to bet on GPU prices.
Polymarket shows approximately 62% odds for the Clarity Act (market structure bill) becoming law by end of 2026.
Reached over $15M in wagers on a single Oscars outcome category.
Changed resolution criteria for a government shutdown duration market hours before the event on February 13, 2026, narrowing acceptable sources to a single government website URL and excluding OPM guidance from other sources, government websites in general, and news media consensus.
Short-duration contracts account for 25% of daily volume.
Consensus markets on Polymarket show 84% chance of FDV above $250M and 48% chance above $500M for Opinion Labs.
Achieved record trading volumes during the Super Bowl period.
Accounts for approximately 74% of top contract activity on Polygon network across four separate contract addresses as of February 13, 2026.
Integrated with Chance platform alongside Kalshi, enabling unified access to prediction markets from multiple providers.
Featured as one of the speculative market types on the Pumpcade testnet beta platform and browser extension.
Generated $3.6M in fees over a 30-day period.
Trading activity for June Fed rate cut odds is climbing on the platform.
Prices Bitcoin under $50K according to market predictions.
Integration with PredictwithOshi is in progress.
Reached 51.98 million transactions in January 2026.
Reached $358 million in open interest as of February 15, 2026.
Badge holders were asked to remove their X badges before 5pm PT on February 12, 2026.
CEO Shayne Coplan joins CFTC's Innovation Advisory Committee alongside CEOs from Coinbase, Ripple, Kraken, Gemini, Chainlink Labs, and Robinhood.
Holds total open interest of approximately $410.6 million as of February 10, 2026.
Sports markets represent 21.4% of open interest at approximately $87.9 million.
Politics markets represent 47.0% of open interest at approximately $193.1 million.