what's polymarket?
Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform, enabling users to trade shares on real-world event outcomes like politics, sports, and crypto trends. Built on Polygon and Ethereum, it uses USDC for secure, transparent bets that reflect market probabilities. The platform democratizes forecasting by allowing anyone to create and participate in markets without intermediaries.
Polymarket launched pUSD, explores $20B valuation, high volumes, Dow Jones ties, and insider trading.
Links
x.com/polymarketLaunched pUSD stablecoin.
Exploring new funding rounds that could value the company at around $20 billion, roughly double its most recent valuation from late 2025.
Established a data partnership with Dow Jones while deepening institutional ties.
Daily trading volume exceeded $700 million during peak activity in early 2026, with the broader ecosystem processing over $20 billion in monthly volume during peak months.
At least 50 newly created wallets placed highly specific bets on a U.S.–Iran ceasefire hours before its official announcement, with one account profiting approximately $200,000, another $125,500, and a third created 12 minutes before the announcement earning about $48,500, raising insider trading concerns.
Has equity-token parity structure where token holders have rights equivalent to equity shareholders.
received investment from Hadick M and Founders Fund in an extension round during late 2023 or early 2024
Over 62% of total volume comes from sports and crypto categories.
Charges approximately 2% fee on winnings for prediction market trades.
Holds 92% of prediction market volume together with Kalshi as of 2026.
Has $1.43B in total trading volume recorded on the platform.
14% of top traders also trade on Hyperliquid, representing $189M in perpetual notional volume on that platform.
Resolved the Masters 2026 Third Round Leader market incorrectly to P3 (50/50 split) despite tiebreaker rules specifying Cameron Young as the winner, causing holders to receive 50 cents per share instead of $1, with a whitelisted proposer subsequently submitting the correct resolution on the oracle.
CFTC Chair Michael Selig endorsed prediction markets, citing their legitimate financial value, ability to outperform polls, and role in fighting fake news. Urged US regulatory guardrails to foster domestic innovation.
Generated approximately $21 million in revenue year-to-date as of April 2026.
Will host prediction markets for the upcoming Soccer World Cup, its first time covering this event, with infrastructure powered by Polygon.
Reached $13.42M in volume on the "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 Stanley Cup?" market.
Reached $13.32M in volume on the "GTA VI released before June 2026?" market.
Reached $10.95M in volume on the "Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?" market.
Reached $3.96M in volume on the "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?" market.
Reached $1.77M in volume on the "Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI?" market.
Reached $1.49M in volume on the "Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 Stanley Cup?" market.
Reached $1.47M in volume on the "Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before GTA VI?" market.
Achieved 28.5% TVL growth.
Ranks 7th by weekly fee generation at $7 million, between Aave and Sky.
One wallet executed 1.93 million trades over 76 days on the platform, averaging 25,000 trades per day.
Integrated with OpenOcean, enabling prediction market trading through OpenOcean's platform interface.
Astaria launches 100x leveraged perpetual futures for event markets (politics, sports, macro, tech) with cross-collateral support for crypto and fiat.
A new wallet placed $40,000 on a Polymarket bet regarding MegaETH launching a token by June 30th, 2026, funded via ByBit within an hour of wallet creation.
Upgraded to CLOB v2 2026-04-07, with simplified order structure, faster matching, and lower gas costs; migrated markets and events API to cursor-based pagination 2026-05-05.
Raised $1 billion from ICE (Intercontinental Exchange) in October 2025 at a $5 billion valuation, with shares trading at 3x that valuation in secondary markets by early 2026.
Acquired QCEX, a CFTC-licensed exchange and clearinghouse, for $112 million to enable regulated U.S. market access.
Airdrop pending for $POLY governance token with TGE not yet completed; trading in premarket on Gate.io at $14 per token.
Reached over $1 million in total sponsored rewards and spends over $2 million annually on liquidity subsidies.
A trader made $12 million across five trades by correctly predicting US-Iran escalation events on the platform.
Acquired Brahma to strengthen DeFi infrastructure and trading performance.
EchoZ-1.0 AI model achieved a 63.2% win rate against live human traders on Polymarket
Integrated Chainlink for oracle services with S&P Global data feeds, driving $153M+ average daily volume in 5 and 15 minute crypto markets, a 3x increase.
Launched 5 and 15-minute markets, generating $200M+ volume in the first week.
Reached 2.5 million wallet addresses interacting with the platform according to onchain analysis.
Signed an exclusive partnership with MLB (Major League Baseball).
Fernandoinfante turned $13,000 into $457,000 profit (3,500% gain) on a US-Iran ceasefire prediction market.
Political prediction markets generated 400% more volume than sports betting markets on the platform in 2025.
Economics prediction markets grew volume by 10x and Tech & Science prediction markets grew volume by 17x in 2025.
Has approximately $4.6M in volume or open interest on a prediction market for best AI model by April 30, 2026.
A new wallet deposited $100,000 to bet on Real Madrid beating Bayern Munich in a single market.
A new wallet deposited $100,000 to bet on a Real Madrid vs Barcelona outcome on the platform.
Integrated with MyAgnt platform, enabling AI agents to search markets and scan for arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket.
Plans migration from Polygon to its own layer.
Achieved $665M in trading volume for the week ending approximately April 7, 2026.
TVL reached $430M.
Reached $10.5B notional trading volume in March 2026, 5x November 2024 Trump election peak. Weekly volume hit $1.93B, surpassing Kalshi's $1.87B.
Processed 222 million trades on the platform, as analyzed in a research study on trader behavior and profitability.
Reached $69B in total volume across the platform.
Added EIP-1271 support for smart contract wallets, enabling multi-sigs, DAOs, and institutional custody to sign orders directly.
USDC supply surpassed $800 million.
Holds approximately $1.25 billion in user wallet balances on the platform.
Launched Polymarket USD as its 1:1 USDC-backed stablecoin, replacing USDC.e for prediction market settlements, and plans to introduce it as a trading asset.
Polymarket gives the ceasefire deal 4% odds by April 7, 2026.
Banned in Nevada and pulled markets.
FIFA named ADI Predictstreet as its first official prediction market partner for the 2026 World Cup instead of Polymarket.
Generated $31 billion in volume between September 2025 and February 2026.
Gives an 82% probability that BTC finishes Sunday red according to market data on the platform.
20.6% of users trade across 11 to 25 different markets on the platform.
27.28% of users have a median bet size between $100 and $500.
Users have a winning rate of approximately 17.8% on the platform.
Added Chinese-language support to the platform.
Generates more revenue than Uniswap while having fewer users.
Generated $21.87 million in total fees from crypto-market categories since fees were activated in early January 2026.
Removed a market betting on a missing US pilot following major backlash.
Reached 146,000 daily active traders (April 2026) and 120,000 daily unique active wallets, averaging 22 transactions per wallet.
Launched Sponsored Market Rewards for BVIV and EVIV Index markets expiring 2026-04-30. Integrated with Firefly for 'Polymarket Trading League Round 2' competition, offering 3,000 USDC prize pool starting 2026-04-10, with participants farming rewards regardless of prediction outcomes.
Appears on Bloomberg Terminal as a data source or integration, with clients frequently requesting Polymarket data per Bloomberg analyst Seyffart.
faces regulatory scrutiny as the CFTC's head of enforcement issued a statement that laws on market manipulation and insider trading apply to prediction markets.
Processed $9 billion in volume and 500,000 crypto users during the US election, calling the outcome before CNN, NYT, and traditional polls.
Reached 3,000+ traders signed up for Data Streams integration.
Two whales placed combined bets exceeding $1.3 million on a U.S. troops entering Iran market in April 2026.
Federal prosecutors in Manhattan investigated a wallet cluster for insider trading violations, which made $600K betting on a US-Iran ceasefire, including a $3,200 bet placed one hour prior for $600K profit. Wallets also profited from earlier military-linked contracts, including $1.2M on US strikes; Jay Clayton's office met with Polymarket.
Implemented fee model March 30, 2026, adding taker fees and on-chain attribution via builder codes. Generated $6.8M in fees in its first week, capturing 96.8% of onchain prediction market weekly fees.
Filed federal lawsuit by CFTC and DOJ against Illinois State to block state-level prediction market regulation, arguing exclusive federal authority over designated contract markets including Polymarket, following state cease-and-desist letters.
Integrated with Cobot AI agents via Allora Network predictive inferences for decentralized forecasting on the prediction market platform.
Powers prediction trading on Hupzy, providing onchain infrastructure for gamified short-term betting on BTC and ETH price movements.
Launched daily "Up or Down" and "Daily Close" prediction markets on April 2, 2026. Markets cover US equities (NVDA, TSLA, AAPL), index ETFs (SPY, QQQ), and commodities (gold, silver, crude oil, natural gas), powered by Pyth Network.
Integrated with 1000x terminal, allowing Polymarket data to be plotted against other assets and markets.
Partnered with LaLiga as exclusive, first European soccer league partner in the U.S. and Canada in multi-year deal, including official event contracts for Real Madrid and FC Barcelona.
Launched a new prediction market on whether a Trump-Denmark Greenland deal will be signed by June 30, 2026.
Restricted by the Australian government.
Launched 8 real estate prediction markets on April 1, 2026, covering Miami, LA, NYC, Austin, SF, DC, Chicago, and the U.S., with April 30, 2026 expiry and settlement against Parcl real-time indices.
A wallet created 11 days before April 1, 2026 has placed $30,000 on a single Counter-Strike game market and achieved $216,000 in profits across 19 total bets on the platform.
Launched mobile phone application on 2026-04-07 with Quick Bets feature for 5-minute betting.
Partnered with Deepcoin to launch Event Contracts, enabling event-based markets to be traded on Deepcoin's CEX with synchronized global pricing and liquidity.
Reaches 784K monthly users.
Reached 222,000 new markets created in March 2026, up from 6,500 new markets in May 2025.
Reached $1.9M daily fees, ranking #4 by revenue, overtaking Polygon.
Reached $2.24B in notional volume for the week ending on 2026-04-01, representing an 11.90% decrease from the previous week.
A whale placed a $5,000,000 position on Polymarket with an expected profit of $5,000.
Removed the 4% earn reward from the World Cup Winner market.
All-time top trader on the platform earned $22 million in total, including $8 million from a single bet.
Processed over $3.5 billion trading volume on Chainlink-powered 5-minute and 15-minute crypto up/down prediction markets; processes $150M daily volume, up from $76M since January 2026.
Launched CTF Exchange V2, Polymarket USD (backed 1:1 by Circle's native USDC) replacing USDC.e, with in-house trading control.