polymarket03

what's polymarket?

Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform, enabling users to trade shares on real-world event outcomes like politics, sports, and crypto trends. Built on Polygon and Ethereum, it uses USDC for secure, transparent bets that reflect market probabilities. The platform democratizes forecasting by allowing anyone to create and participate in markets without intermediaries.

Snapshot

Polymarket integrates Chance aggregator v2.0 with rewards, Rainbow wallet, and reached 324k users.

15H ago
ONCHAIN METRICS

Had 254,700 users for the week ending February 27, 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved $1.82 billion in notional volume for the week ending February 27, 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Processed 22.66 million transactions for the week ending February 27, 2026.

17H ago
ONCHAIN METRICS

Processed $8 billion in volume during January 2026, ranking #2 globally among prediction markets, surpassing Polymarket in monthly volume.

18H ago
ONCHAIN METRICS

reached $1.2 billion in weekly trading volume for the week ending February 27, 2026

ONCHAIN METRICS

processed 14.4 million transactions during the week ending February 27, 2026

1D ago
WHALE ACTIVITY

Wallet 0x054e placed $212,000 in bets on Polymarket for Axiom at $0.33 and won $421,000 on this trade, becoming the market's top holder.

WHALE ACTIVITY

Profited $1.02M on Axiom bet with $40M in volume, one trader earning $411.4K at 13.8% odds, and 12 wallets making over $1M.

TECH EVENT

Uses conditional ERC-1155 tokens to underpin Yes/No prediction market outcomes as core protocol infrastructure.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A user acquired 41,000 shares in a prediction market on February 24, 2026, at $0.17 per share, with current value reaching $41,400.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Processed over $3.74 billion in trading volume in November 2025 alone.

FINANCIAL EVENT

Acquired QCX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange, for $112 million.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached over $100 billion in volume, contributing $55 billion to total prediction markets volume of $126 billion as of February 2026.

FINANCIAL EVENT

Received a $2 billion investment from ICE (parent company of New York Stock Exchange) in October 2025 at a $9 billion valuation.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Processed 95 million total trades with monthly trade count growing from approximately 45,000 to around 19 million.

2D ago
OPINION SPECULATION

A trader placed a $14 million bet on Polymarket that Paramount will acquire Warner, creating cross-platform arbitrage opportunity with NFLX call spreads.

ONCHAIN METRICS

70% of 1.7 million wallets that traded on the platform lost money, with the median trader down $3, while 0.04% of wallets captured 70% of all profits.

PARTNERSHIP

Has partnerships with Circle related to USDC usage in decentralized prediction markets.

3D ago
PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Worm to enable 3x leveraged betting on Polymarket markets.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Mass mobile app, described as an "everything defi" application.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Jupiter Exchange's Prediction API (beta), enabling programmatic access to prediction markets settled on Solana for elections, sports, and culture.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved over $5 million in trading volume on a specific market in less than 24 hours.

TECH EVENT

Released a CLI tool built in Rust for programmatic market queries, order placement, historical data access, and automated trading execution. Integrated MoonPay Agents for CLI-based funding from any chain, market search, and trade placement.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved $1.82B in notional volume for the week ending February 24, 2026, representing a 3.18% decrease from the prior week.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A new wallet deposited $5,891 to bet on Polymarket on a market regarding Meteora insider trading accusations.

4D ago
RISK ALERT

Faces insider trading allegations with $9.7M in profits, identifying 8 addresses profiting over $1.2M on the "Axiom" market, including wallets connected to Axiom employee Broox profiting $400K. Resolved "How many views will ZachXBT's investigation post get on X?" market to YES, refunded NO positions. Launched ZachXBT investigation market Feb 24, 2026, reaching $21M volume, runs until Mar 1, 2026, with Meteora at 47% probability, Pumpfun volume at $312,617, HyperliquidX volume at $343,949, and Meteora volume at $282,729.

ONCHAIN METRICS

CLARITY Act passing odds dropped from 72% to 42%, with 80% probability for 2026.

WHALE ACTIVITY

User 'BT-Polymarket' placed $5,400 on WLFI not being accused of insider trading and $10,000 on Binance not being accused of insider trading on the platform.

5D ago
OPINION SPECULATION

CMO Matthew Modabber confirmed token launch and airdrop planned, with 5-10% of total token supply for users.

6D ago
MARKET ACTIVITY

Surpassed Kalshi in DEX spot transaction volume.

RISK ALERT

User data breach exposed 93,000 user details (including usernames, wallet IDs, X accounts, deposit volume, PnL, and funding source) now being sold on the dark web for $4,999.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $350M in TVL.

1W ago
PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Starkbot version 0.5.60 as a skill for USA users, enabling AI agent interactions with Polymarket.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved $5.7B in weekly volume.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 51.15 million total transactions as of February 20, 2026.

OPINION SPECULATION

Polymarket pricing shows around 75% probability that the US Supreme Court will rule Trump's tariffs illegal on February 20, 2026.

MARKET ACTIVITY

Opened a prediction market on whether the US will confirm extraterrestrial life exists before December 31, 2026, with odds jumping from 8% to 21% overnight.

TECH EVENT

Removed the 500ms taker delay from the platform.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $409.7M in open interest as of February 27, 2026.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Rainbow wallet, enabling users to make predictions directly within the Rainbow application.

PARTNERSHIP

Acquired Dome, a Y Combinator-backed unified API that normalizes prediction market data.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Named to Forbes Top 50 Fintech companies list for 2026, appearing alongside four other crypto companies.

TECH EVENT

Plans to migrate away from Polygon to its own chain.

REGULATORY

Banned in Australia due to lack of licensing requirements.

WHALE ACTIVITY

Account profited over $500,000 trading crypto up/down markets within one month of creation.

TECH EVENT

Launched 5-minute duration markets for ETH, SOL, and XRP.

TECH EVENT

Expanded 5-minute markets functionality on Polygon network for increased capacity and speed.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Sponsored ETHDenver 2026 as an official sponsor.

PARTNERSHIP

Jump Trading is positioned to take stakes in Polymarket, signaling institutional interest in the prediction market platform.

PARTNERSHIP

Partnered with Substack for native embeds of prediction market data and trader profiles, launched February 18, 2026.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Autonolas Polystrat, an autonomous AI trading agent platform that executes trades, powered by Polygon's infrastructure.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Received public recognition from NYSE President Lynn Martin at Mar-a-Lago on 2026-02-18, and mentioned at the White House, Fortune 500 earnings calls, and the GRAMMYs.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A top trader accumulated $1.93M in profit over 2 weeks on only 5 trades, with over $2M profit generated in the last 24 hours alone.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Ranked first among all projects for weekly mindshare growth at +1.71%.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 19.6 million weekly spot DEX transactions and 22.58 million total transactions, the highest among prediction markets, for the week ending February 22, 2026, contributing to 38.1 million combined prediction market transactions.

FINANCIAL EVENT

Offers $2.5M in grants for developers, infrastructure, and technology development.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Sport Fun, powering its prediction markets.

REGULATORY

CFTC asserted federal jurisdiction over prediction markets, filing lawsuit against Massachusetts regulators amid regulatory classification dispute between federal derivatives regulation and state-level gambling laws.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with askginadotai for AI agent trading capabilities; released improved documentation including MCP and agent skills integration, enabling AI agents to build on Polymarket through Cursor and Claude.

FINANCIAL EVENT

Offers market sponsorship program for hedge funds, educational institutions, and individuals to fund custom reward pools, incentivizing market makers for tighter spreads, with rewards based on scoring and sponsor capital frozen until market period ends.

WHALE ACTIVITY

The #9 all-time PnL leader placed approximately $500,000 in bets on Real Madrid losing on February 17, 2026.

REGULATORY

Banned in the Netherlands by Dutch gambling regulator, effective February 17, 2026, with fines of €420,000 per week. Dutch regulator ordered Polymarket affiliate to halt operations.

TECH EVENT

Integrated with Tron network, enabling native deposits February 17, 2026.

PARTNERSHIP

Partners with SDF to power prediction markets on their platform.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with mevtools for PolyGains, a real-time terminal built on SQD Pipes that tracks live flow, wallet history, and alerts on large movements from zero-history wallets, launched on 2026-02-17.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A wallet placed $190,000 in bets on Polymarket that a Pokémon card would sell above $10M, $12M, and $15M approximately one week before the card sold for $16.49M, reportedly making over $300,000 in profit.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached over 400 million trades on Polygon, totaling 36GB of compressed data, driving USDC transactions.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached a new all-time high of 688,000 monthly active users.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Odds of Bitcoin hitting $80K in February dropped to 10% on the prediction market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Recorded $7.6 billion in trading volume for January 2026.

PARTNERSHIP

NEAR Protocol features a job listing for a "Polymarket Prediction Market strategy engine" on their agentic task markets.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Cited as an example of a successful product that abstracts away tokens and crypto, in a discussion about builder strategies and product-market fit.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Recorded approximately $832M in trading volume over the 7-day period ending February 16, 2026, ranking second among prediction markets behind Kalshi's $1.13B.

RISK ALERT

Oracle price manipulation vulnerability discovered in the new betting system, allowing exploitation of the platform.

FINANCIAL EVENT

Conducting $POLY token airdrop allocating 5% of token supply, potentially $500M+, based on CMO confirmation claims and a $9B valuation assumption.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated Chainlink standard as part of 12 integrations across 7 services and 5 chains including BNB Chain, Ethereum, Polygon, Robinhood Chain, and Solana during the week of February 9-15, 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 310,000 users for the week ending February 20, 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Recorded 15.57 million transactions for the week ending February 15, 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved $1.92 billion notional volume for week ending February 15, 2026, and $1.88 billion for week ending February 20, 2026.

MARKET ACTIVITY

Launched a GPU price prediction market allowing users to bet on GPU prices.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Polymarket shows approximately 62% odds for the Clarity Act (market structure bill) becoming law by end of 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached over $15M in wagers on a single Oscars outcome category.

2W ago
RISK ALERT

Changed resolution criteria for a government shutdown duration market hours before the event on February 13, 2026, narrowing acceptable sources to a single government website URL and excluding OPM guidance from other sources, government websites in general, and news media consensus.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Short-duration contracts account for 25% of daily volume.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Consensus markets on Polymarket show 84% chance of FDV above $250M and 48% chance above $500M for Opinion Labs.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved record trading volumes during the Super Bowl period.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Accounts for approximately 74% of top contract activity on Polygon network across four separate contract addresses as of February 13, 2026.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Chance platform alongside Kalshi, enabling unified access to prediction markets from multiple providers.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Featured as one of the speculative market types on the Pumpcade testnet beta platform and browser extension.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Generated $3.6M in fees over a 30-day period.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Trading activity for June Fed rate cut odds is climbing on the platform.

MARKET ACTIVITY

Prices Bitcoin under $50K according to market predictions.

PARTNERSHIP

Integration with PredictwithOshi is in progress.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 51.98 million transactions in January 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $358 million in open interest as of February 15, 2026.

UNCATEGORIZED

Badge holders were asked to remove their X badges before 5pm PT on February 12, 2026.

REGULATORY

CEO Shayne Coplan joins CFTC's Innovation Advisory Committee alongside CEOs from Coinbase, Ripple, Kraken, Gemini, Chainlink Labs, and Robinhood.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Holds total open interest of approximately $410.6 million as of February 10, 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Sports markets represent 21.4% of open interest at approximately $87.9 million.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Politics markets represent 47.0% of open interest at approximately $193.1 million.