polymarket03

what's polymarket?

Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform, enabling users to trade shares on real-world event outcomes like politics, sports, and crypto trends. Built on Polygon and Ethereum, it uses USDC for secure, transparent bets that reflect market probabilities. The platform democratizes forecasting by allowing anyone to create and participate in markets without intermediaries.

Snapshot

Polymarket launched pUSD, explores $20B valuation, high volumes, Dow Jones ties, and insider trading.

5H ago
TOKEN ECONOMICS

Launched pUSD stablecoin.

23H ago
FINANCIAL EVENT

Exploring new funding rounds that could value the company at around $20 billion, roughly double its most recent valuation from late 2025.

PARTNERSHIP

Established a data partnership with Dow Jones while deepening institutional ties.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Daily trading volume exceeded $700 million during peak activity in early 2026, with the broader ecosystem processing over $20 billion in monthly volume during peak months.

RISK ALERT

At least 50 newly created wallets placed highly specific bets on a U.S.–Iran ceasefire hours before its official announcement, with one account profiting approximately $200,000, another $125,500, and a third created 12 minutes before the announcement earning about $48,500, raising insider trading concerns.

1D ago
TOKEN ECONOMICS

Has equity-token parity structure where token holders have rights equivalent to equity shareholders.

FINANCIAL EVENT

received investment from Hadick M and Founders Fund in an extension round during late 2023 or early 2024

ONCHAIN METRICS

Over 62% of total volume comes from sports and crypto categories.

TOKEN ECONOMICS

Charges approximately 2% fee on winnings for prediction market trades.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Holds 92% of prediction market volume together with Kalshi as of 2026.

2D ago
ONCHAIN METRICS

Has $1.43B in total trading volume recorded on the platform.

ONCHAIN METRICS

14% of top traders also trade on Hyperliquid, representing $189M in perpetual notional volume on that platform.

RISK ALERT

Resolved the Masters 2026 Third Round Leader market incorrectly to P3 (50/50 split) despite tiebreaker rules specifying Cameron Young as the winner, causing holders to receive 50 cents per share instead of $1, with a whitelisted proposer subsequently submitting the correct resolution on the oracle.

REGULATORY

CFTC Chair Michael Selig endorsed prediction markets, citing their legitimate financial value, ability to outperform polls, and role in fighting fake news. Urged US regulatory guardrails to foster domestic innovation.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Generated approximately $21 million in revenue year-to-date as of April 2026.

3D ago
VISIBILITY EVENT

Will host prediction markets for the upcoming Soccer World Cup, its first time covering this event, with infrastructure powered by Polygon.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $13.42M in volume on the "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 Stanley Cup?" market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $13.32M in volume on the "GTA VI released before June 2026?" market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $10.95M in volume on the "Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?" market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $3.96M in volume on the "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?" market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $1.77M in volume on the "Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI?" market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $1.49M in volume on the "Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 Stanley Cup?" market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $1.47M in volume on the "Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before GTA VI?" market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved 28.5% TVL growth.

4D ago
ONCHAIN METRICS

Ranks 7th by weekly fee generation at $7 million, between Aave and Sky.

ONCHAIN METRICS

One wallet executed 1.93 million trades over 76 days on the platform, averaging 25,000 trades per day.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with OpenOcean, enabling prediction market trading through OpenOcean's platform interface.

5D ago
PARTNERSHIP

Astaria launches 100x leveraged perpetual futures for event markets (politics, sports, macro, tech) with cross-collateral support for crypto and fiat.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A new wallet placed $40,000 on a Polymarket bet regarding MegaETH launching a token by June 30th, 2026, funded via ByBit within an hour of wallet creation.

TECH EVENT

Upgraded to CLOB v2 2026-04-07, with simplified order structure, faster matching, and lower gas costs; migrated markets and events API to cursor-based pagination 2026-05-05.

FINANCIAL EVENT

Raised $1 billion from ICE (Intercontinental Exchange) in October 2025 at a $5 billion valuation, with shares trading at 3x that valuation in secondary markets by early 2026.

PARTNERSHIP

Acquired QCEX, a CFTC-licensed exchange and clearinghouse, for $112 million to enable regulated U.S. market access.

TOKEN ECONOMICS

Airdrop pending for $POLY governance token with TGE not yet completed; trading in premarket on Gate.io at $14 per token.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached over $1 million in total sponsored rewards and spends over $2 million annually on liquidity subsidies.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A trader made $12 million across five trades by correctly predicting US-Iran escalation events on the platform.

PARTNERSHIP

Acquired Brahma to strengthen DeFi infrastructure and trading performance.

ONCHAIN METRICS

EchoZ-1.0 AI model achieved a 63.2% win rate against live human traders on Polymarket

ONCHAIN METRICS

Integrated Chainlink for oracle services with S&P Global data feeds, driving $153M+ average daily volume in 5 and 15 minute crypto markets, a 3x increase.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Launched 5 and 15-minute markets, generating $200M+ volume in the first week.

6D ago
ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 2.5 million wallet addresses interacting with the platform according to onchain analysis.

PARTNERSHIP

Signed an exclusive partnership with MLB (Major League Baseball).

WHALE ACTIVITY

Fernandoinfante turned $13,000 into $457,000 profit (3,500% gain) on a US-Iran ceasefire prediction market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Political prediction markets generated 400% more volume than sports betting markets on the platform in 2025.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Economics prediction markets grew volume by 10x and Tech & Science prediction markets grew volume by 17x in 2025.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Has approximately $4.6M in volume or open interest on a prediction market for best AI model by April 30, 2026.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A new wallet deposited $100,000 to bet on Real Madrid beating Bayern Munich in a single market.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A new wallet deposited $100,000 to bet on a Real Madrid vs Barcelona outcome on the platform.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with MyAgnt platform, enabling AI agents to search markets and scan for arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket.

TECH EVENT

Plans migration from Polygon to its own layer.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Achieved $665M in trading volume for the week ending approximately April 7, 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

TVL reached $430M.

1W ago
ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $10.5B notional trading volume in March 2026, 5x November 2024 Trump election peak. Weekly volume hit $1.93B, surpassing Kalshi's $1.87B.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Processed 222 million trades on the platform, as analyzed in a research study on trader behavior and profitability.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $69B in total volume across the platform.

TECH EVENT

Added EIP-1271 support for smart contract wallets, enabling multi-sigs, DAOs, and institutional custody to sign orders directly.

ONCHAIN METRICS

USDC supply surpassed $800 million.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Holds approximately $1.25 billion in user wallet balances on the platform.

TOKEN ECONOMICSOfficial

Launched Polymarket USD as its 1:1 USDC-backed stablecoin, replacing USDC.e for prediction market settlements, and plans to introduce it as a trading asset.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Polymarket gives the ceasefire deal 4% odds by April 7, 2026.

REGULATORY

Banned in Nevada and pulled markets.

PARTNERSHIP

FIFA named ADI Predictstreet as its first official prediction market partner for the 2026 World Cup instead of Polymarket.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Generated $31 billion in volume between September 2025 and February 2026.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Gives an 82% probability that BTC finishes Sunday red according to market data on the platform.

ONCHAIN METRICS

20.6% of users trade across 11 to 25 different markets on the platform.

ONCHAIN METRICS

27.28% of users have a median bet size between $100 and $500.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Users have a winning rate of approximately 17.8% on the platform.

TECH EVENT

Added Chinese-language support to the platform.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Generates more revenue than Uniswap while having fewer users.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Generated $21.87 million in total fees from crypto-market categories since fees were activated in early January 2026.

RISK ALERT

Removed a market betting on a missing US pilot following major backlash.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 146,000 daily active traders (April 2026) and 120,000 daily unique active wallets, averaging 22 transactions per wallet.

MARKET ACTIVITY

Launched Sponsored Market Rewards for BVIV and EVIV Index markets expiring 2026-04-30. Integrated with Firefly for 'Polymarket Trading League Round 2' competition, offering 3,000 USDC prize pool starting 2026-04-10, with participants farming rewards regardless of prediction outcomes.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Appears on Bloomberg Terminal as a data source or integration, with clients frequently requesting Polymarket data per Bloomberg analyst Seyffart.

REGULATORY

faces regulatory scrutiny as the CFTC's head of enforcement issued a statement that laws on market manipulation and insider trading apply to prediction markets.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Processed $9 billion in volume and 500,000 crypto users during the US election, calling the outcome before CNN, NYT, and traditional polls.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 3,000+ traders signed up for Data Streams integration.

WHALE ACTIVITY

Two whales placed combined bets exceeding $1.3 million on a U.S. troops entering Iran market in April 2026.

REGULATORY

Federal prosecutors in Manhattan investigated a wallet cluster for insider trading violations, which made $600K betting on a US-Iran ceasefire, including a $3,200 bet placed one hour prior for $600K profit. Wallets also profited from earlier military-linked contracts, including $1.2M on US strikes; Jay Clayton's office met with Polymarket.

TOKEN ECONOMICS

Implemented fee model March 30, 2026, adding taker fees and on-chain attribution via builder codes. Generated $6.8M in fees in its first week, capturing 96.8% of onchain prediction market weekly fees.

REGULATORY

Filed federal lawsuit by CFTC and DOJ against Illinois State to block state-level prediction market regulation, arguing exclusive federal authority over designated contract markets including Polymarket, following state cease-and-desist letters.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with Cobot AI agents via Allora Network predictive inferences for decentralized forecasting on the prediction market platform.

PARTNERSHIP

Powers prediction trading on Hupzy, providing onchain infrastructure for gamified short-term betting on BTC and ETH price movements.

PARTNERSHIP

Launched daily "Up or Down" and "Daily Close" prediction markets on April 2, 2026. Markets cover US equities (NVDA, TSLA, AAPL), index ETFs (SPY, QQQ), and commodities (gold, silver, crude oil, natural gas), powered by Pyth Network.

PARTNERSHIP

Integrated with 1000x terminal, allowing Polymarket data to be plotted against other assets and markets.

PARTNERSHIPOfficial

Partnered with LaLiga as exclusive, first European soccer league partner in the U.S. and Canada in multi-year deal, including official event contracts for Real Madrid and FC Barcelona.

VISIBILITY EVENTOfficial

Launched a new prediction market on whether a Trump-Denmark Greenland deal will be signed by June 30, 2026.

REGULATORY

Restricted by the Australian government.

MARKET ACTIVITY

Launched 8 real estate prediction markets on April 1, 2026, covering Miami, LA, NYC, Austin, SF, DC, Chicago, and the U.S., with April 30, 2026 expiry and settlement against Parcl real-time indices.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A wallet created 11 days before April 1, 2026 has placed $30,000 on a single Counter-Strike game market and achieved $216,000 in profits across 19 total bets on the platform.

VISIBILITY EVENT

Launched mobile phone application on 2026-04-07 with Quick Bets feature for 5-minute betting.

PARTNERSHIP

Partnered with Deepcoin to launch Event Contracts, enabling event-based markets to be traded on Deepcoin's CEX with synchronized global pricing and liquidity.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reaches 784K monthly users.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached 222,000 new markets created in March 2026, up from 6,500 new markets in May 2025.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $1.9M daily fees, ranking #4 by revenue, overtaking Polygon.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Reached $2.24B in notional volume for the week ending on 2026-04-01, representing an 11.90% decrease from the previous week.

WHALE ACTIVITY

A whale placed a $5,000,000 position on Polymarket with an expected profit of $5,000.

TOKEN ECONOMICS

Removed the 4% earn reward from the World Cup Winner market.

ONCHAIN METRICS

All-time top trader on the platform earned $22 million in total, including $8 million from a single bet.

ONCHAIN METRICS

Processed over $3.5 billion trading volume on Chainlink-powered 5-minute and 15-minute crypto up/down prediction markets; processes $150M daily volume, up from $76M since January 2026.

PARTNERSHIPOfficial

Launched CTF Exchange V2, Polymarket USD (backed 1:1 by Circle's native USDC) replacing USDC.e, with in-house trading control.