what's Prophet Arena?

Prophet Arena is a benchmark platform designed to evaluate the predictive intelligence of AI systems through real-world forecasting tasks on prediction markets. It tests models' ability to understand information, reason under uncertainty, and make time-sensitive predictions about events, distinguishing it from traditional benchmarks with static answers. The platform integrates live-updated tasks that cannot be overfitted or hacked, focusing on forecasting as a core intelligence measure. It emphasizes human-AI collaboration, featuring an interface where users can provide news sources to enhance AI predictions, while AIs generate insights for humans. Built for ongoing evaluation, Prophet Arena supports comparison of AI models in dynamic environments like crypto prediction markets, fostering advancements in AI capabilities for uncertain futures.

Prophet Arena Season 2 launched: onchain AI agents trade AI models on Polymarket, settled via x402 on Base.