what's Probable?
Probable is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the BNB Chain. It enables users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events spanning politics, economics, sports, cryptocurrency prices, and more, leveraging on-chain settlement for transparency and security. The platform operates through a crypto-native interface where participants buy and sell shares in event outcomes, with markets resolving based on oracle data or community consensus. Incubated by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs, it emphasizes low-friction trading and has rapidly grown in user adoption and trading volume since launch.
Probable recorded $499.96M 7-day trading volume, ranking 4th among prediction markets by Feb 6, 2026.
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x.com/0xprobableAchieved approximately $220M in trading volume over a 7-day period, ranking 4th among prediction markets.
Achieved $499.96M in 7-day trading volume, ranking 4th among prediction markets for the period ending February 6, 2026.
Recorded 639,000 weekly transactions on its prediction market platform according to data from Predictefy.
Surpassed $1 billion in trading volume in January 2026.
Briefly overtook Opinion in market share on BSC prediction markets.
Faced accusations of wash trading on BSC prediction markets.
Confirmed on December 31, 2025 that a points system is coming.
The platform launches on BNB Chain backed by PancakeSwap.
PancakeSwap and YZI Labs announce co-incubation partnership for the onchain prediction market protocol on BNB Chain, featuring multi-asset deposits with automatic USDT conversion and UMA oracle integration for price feeds.
PancakeSwap announces incubation of the project as a zero-fee prediction market launching on BNB Chain.